Avon (NYSE: AVP) delivered not a bag of cosmetics to Wall Street, but a batch of growing earnings. Total revenues for the first quarter were up beautifully, rising 14% to $2.5 billion. Earnings per diluted share likewise did the double-digit-increase dance, rocketing 26% to $0.43.
Now, I would have liked the report a lot more if the company had indicated in its cash flow statement that everything was positive -- unfortunately, that was not to be, as operational cash flow was, in fact, negative. Avon needed to use $41 million for its operating activities during the quarter. Well, one thing I can say is that it's a lot less than the cash needed to fund last year's operations -- Avon burned through over $160 million in the comparable period. A check of the latest 10K shows that, while operational cash flow has been decreasing over the last few years, it has remained positive, so since this is the first quarter of the new fiscal year, we can wait to see how cash flow shapes up as the quarters go by.
Avon competes with companies like Procter & Gamble (NYSE: PG), Revlon (NYSE: REV) and Estee Lauder (NYSE: EL). As I've stated in the past, Procter & Gamble is more my kind of consumer-products business, but I'll give Avon its due since it does have a good product portfolio backing its brand and a devoted base of users. The stock is not too far off from its 52-week high as of this writing, and so long as it can keep sales growing and fight inflationary pressures, it should be a decent long-term bet.
Disclosure: I don't own shares in any of the companies mentioned; positions can change at any time.
Merck & Co. (NYSE: MRK) shares are dropping over 8% in premarket trading after it said its cholesterol pill Cordaptive failed to win approval from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration, less than a week after it was recommended for marketing in the European Union. While Merck intends to submit more data to the FDA, it is unclear it will succeed given even some European doctors said more research is needed on one of the drug's main components safety.
Who said higher oil prices aren't good? If you ask Royal Dutch Shell (NYSE: RDS.A) and BP (NYSE: BP), high oil prices are fantastic as the two oil giants beat forecasts when posting quarterly earnings Tuesday, reporting that net income, excluding unrealized gains from changes in inventory values, rose 12% to a record $7.8 billion and 48% to $6.6 billion respectively. Shell shares are climbing 5.7% in premarket trading and BP's over 4.8% as it seems investors think oil above $100 a barrel is here to stay.
Archer Daniels Midland Co. (NYSE: ADM), the world's largest grain processor, said third-quarter profit rose 42% to $517 million or 80 cents per share, topping analyst estimates of 69 cents per share, as it traded more grains and crushed more soybeans. Sales climbed 64% to $18.7 billion. Seems that being in agriculture lately is a positive and ADM shares are rising 3.75% in premarket trading.
Revlon (NYSE: REV) issued a press release concerning its plans for a reverse split as well as some preliminary quarterly results. The reverse split will be based on a 1-for-10 ratio. Well, the company may increase the share price via this method, but it won't make much of a difference in terms of Revlon's potential as an investment.
The stock closed on Friday at $0.99 per share. Let me repeat this -- the stock closed on Friday at $0.99. We are thus talking about a highly speculative equity. Interestingly, if you take a look at the preliminary results, you might believe that Revlon is on the right path. Revlon's management expects a slight dip in terms of net revenues -- the top line will see about $320 million in the quarter versus nearly $329 million in the year-ago period. There will be a net loss of about $5 million this time around versus a net loss of over $35 million last year. Doesn't sound so bad, I suppose, especially when you consider that operating income should come in at $30 million -- that's ten times better than 2007's first quarter. So, would I buy Revlon?
No. I actually owned Revlon stock a few years ago, and I think I essentially broke even when I decided to get the heck out. Revlon has a long way to go before proving to me that it's got a handle on all its problems and that it can get its brand equity back on track. And this reverse stock split means nothing to me, as it doesn't alter the underlying fundamentals. Revlon faces tough competition from other brands, such as Avon (NYSE: AVP), Estee Lauder (NYSE: EL), and products from Procter & Gamble (NYSE: PG), so the company has its work cut out for it.
Disclosure: I don't own shares in any of the companies mentioned here; positions can change at any time.
TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says investors should be negative, but they have to keep an eye out for rallies.
Have you looked at the charts lately? I still carry them around and, frankly, have been reluctant to sit down and look at one after another the way Helene Meisler has for years and years.
But I have forced myself to do so since this year began just to remind myself that this bear market is a vicious one and you better have a darned good reason to buy a stock because you are most likely going to lose money otherwise.
The charts are amazingly bad. The vast majority of stocks are simply awful. You eliminate the oils, the golds, the ags, you have nothing, I mean, really, nothing. You can see that an Avon (NYSE: AVP) (Cramer's Take) could rally or maybe a Coke (NYSE: KO) (Cramer's Take), and you can make a case for the utilities to bottom on interest rate compares but that's really about it. The banks? They all look like they have no bottom.
Avon Products (NYSE: AVP) reported Q4 earnings today, and it looks like the Avon Lady has beaten Wall Street. Revenues for the quarter jumped a nice 17% -- got to love that. Diluted earnings per share dived 27% to $0.30, however -- that's not so lovable. Blame that dreaded cliche of earnings reports -- restructuring costs.
Avon's stock is currently trading up well over 5% as of 2:40 this afternoon. The company beat expectations of $0.28 per share. Avon saw a 20% increase in its beauty sales, an 18% increase in its beauty-plus category (that includes stuff like apparel, jewelry, etc.), and a 5% increase in its home products category. The number of active representatives also trended higher. Believe it or not, I buy Avon products every month from my friendly rep -- I can't live without its Advanced Techniques shampoos and its men's body washes.
The stock is currently trading at a decent yield -- approximately 2% -- and it does have a good portfolio of women's brands backed by the iconic Avon name. I'll be honest, though, and say that, when it comes to consumer-products companies, I definitely think of companies like Procter & Gamble (NYSE: PG), Clorox (NYSE: CLX), and Colgate-Palmolive (NYSE: CL) first. At least those brands don't need representatives to push them. Still, over the long haul, Avon will probably reward patient shareholders.
What Would Buffett Buy? S&P's latest screen tracking the Berkshire bigwig's investing criteria uncovers 60 attractive names. Some of the stocks include 3M, Altera, Altria, Apple, China Mobile, Cisco, Coach, Coca-Cola, IGT, Microsoft, Qualcomm, Rio Tinto and Schlumberger. What Would Buffett Buy? List: 60 Stocks That Pass Buffett Screen
Best American Cities for Couples With rents in many cities skyrocketing, men and women marrying later and a divorce rate for first-time marriages that hovers at about 45%, it's no wonder more American couples are deciding to shack up. But where are the best places to live? Topping the list is Dallas, Houston, Minneapolis, Denver and Austin. Best Cities For Couples - Forbes.com
Food Fight Which of these items has fewer calories and less fat? 3 McDonald's Big Mac sandwiches or 1 Uno deep-dish Shroom individual pizza? If you said 3 Big Mac's you are correct. 3 Big Macs have 1,620 calories and 87g of fat while 1 Uno's individual pizza has a whooping 2,070 calories and 159g of fat. This is just one of 10 comparisons. Food from Outback, Dunkin Donuts, Krispy Kreme, Ruby Tuesday, Red Lobster, Starbucks and more are put to the test. ConsumerReports.org - Calorie comparison
Best Fabric Softeners Conventional wisdom advises using fabric-softener sheets to lessen static cling, but Consumer Reports found that overall, liquids reduced the static charge in a load of synthetic clothing slightly better than sheets did. Ttests of 12 liquids, eight sheets, a dryer ball and a reusable dryer cloth revealed one excellent product, Ultra Gain Joyful Expressions liquid. ConsumerReports.org - Fabric softeners: Tests, recommendations Ratings: Best Softeners
Secrets of a Superfruit Last year saw the launch of more than 400 pomegranate products, from skin cream to gumdrops, and the number of Americans buying fresh pomegranates has quadrupled since 2002. Here is the real reason that pomegranate has become the "it" flavor of the fruit world. The Truth Behind the Pomegranate Craze | SmartMoney.com
Forget about being in the beauty business. This overhaul at Avon Products, Inc. (NYSE: AVP) isn't going to be pretty in the least. As part of its previously announced restructuring plan, 2,400 jobs will be cut and the company plans to save about $430 million per year. The plan will cost $530 million, with $460 expensed through the end of 2007 and the remainder being charged between now and the end of 2009. Additionally, the company's going to write of $110 in inventory as it says it's simplifying product lines by getting rid of low selling products.
This turnaround plan for Avon was announced in November of 2005 and is focused on creating efficiencies in the operation, thereby cutting costs. They're also focusing on the "career opportunity" for representatives and they're trying to make it more attractive.
Avon is one of the oldest multi-level marketing (MLM) companies around. It was established in 1886, a time when door-to-door sales were a common way of purchasing items that were needed. Over time, the business model has evolved to more of home party model and one-on-one selling that doesn't necessarily involve knocking on stranger's doors.
Apple, Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) has wooed Avon Products, Inc. (NYSE: AVP) CEO Andrea Jung to its board of directors, giving the Apple board a count of eight members as of January 2008. At this point in time, this really does make sense for Apple and the decision is a great one. Here's why.
Jung, who has been with Avon for over 11 years, is deeply entrenched into how direct sales and marketing strategies apply to women. Although Apple's iPod has been geek-lust for many teenage boys and 20-somethings (among other demographics), the marketing of the iPod has almost always involved women in some form.
As part of its ongoing restructuring program, beauty products giant Avon Products (NYSE: AVP) announced plans to reduce its workforce by 2,400 jobs. The company's restructuring plan was first announced in 2005, and the company is now looking at completing the restructuring in 2011.
Previously, the restructuring was supposed to run the company $500 million, but now the estimates are pointing to a total cost closer to $530 million. Once completed, the company plans to save itself approximately $430 million annually. This is substantially higher than the original $300 million annual savings the company had initially anticipated.
While the company has been moving through its restructuring over the past two years, the stock has been trading pretty strong. Since the end of 2005, the stock has moved from $27.34 to its current price of $39.00, picking up 42.6% for its shareholders.
Don't think of Avon (NYSE: AVP) as that traditional door-to-door cosmetics company. Avon has entered the globalization and digital age.
Avon is in the midst of a restructuring aimed at increasing efficiency and widening the company's sales venues, and so far, so good.
Direct selling (5.3 million representatives) continues to be Avon's base, but catalogs, mall kiosks, a day spa, and a web site create a diverse retail presence.
Avon has also reduced its costs by moving manufacturing to lower-cost regions in the world, and via sales force productivity increases. Meanwhile, the company has amped-up its product base (cosmetics, fragrances, toiletries, jewelry, apparel, and home furnishings) as part of it plan to attract younger customers and to expand its global operations footprint.
Further, analysts are keeping an eye on marketing costs, which always increase in any brand expansion plan. Provided that expenses don't get out of hand, margins should improve in 2008 - a major reason why the stock's appeal is increasing in Wall Street circles. The Reuters F2007/F2008 EPS consensus estimates for Avon are $1.50/$2.08.
The First Call mean rating for the stock is: Buy. [16 firms.] Mean 2008 target: $46.70. [high: $55, low: $39.]
Stock Analysis: Avon is a moderate-risk stock not suitable for low-risk investors. Investors with an investment horizon longer than 1 year should be rewarded by Avon's shares. Sell / Stop Loss if you were to purchase shares in this company: $26.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: The Personal Care, Household Products and Cosmetics industry, Horsehead Holdings and China Sunergy were today's noteworthy initiations:
CIBC started shares of Horsehead Holdings (NASDAQ: ZINC) with a Sector Outperformer rating and $30 target, as they believe the valuation discount to other North American zinc producers will narrow as investors become more aware of the name.
Jefferies would avoid shares of China Sunergy Co Ltd(NASDAQ: CSUN) in the near-term as the company resolves issues regarding its access to polysilicon. The firm initiated shares with a Hold rating and $8 target.
OTHER INITIATIONS:
Goldman reinstated LSI Corporation (NYSE: LSI) with a Neutral rating and $8 target.
CEOs like to talk about "traction." It is part of the CEO lingo. Having traction is a good thing. It means your company is going somewhere.
Chairman and CEO Andrea Jung said Avon's (NYSE:AVP) turnaround is gaining traction, according to the Associated Press. But, the company's stock is down 8% to $35.70 after announcing earnings. Second-quarter 2007 revenue grew 12% year over year to $2.3 billion.
Net income in the second quarter 2007 was $113 million, or $0.26 per share, compared with $151 million, or $0.33 per share in the year-ago quarter. The market didn't like that part and sent the stock plunging almost 9%.
Avon's big problem is that its sales are growing in places like China and Latin America, but in its home market the company is going nowhere. During the last quarter, Avon's US sales were flat at $620 million. And operating income for the region fell 32% to $41.5 million. If the company had not done very well in Latin America during the period, things would have been much worse for the overall bottom line.
Avon seems to be going through endless restructurings. And, it shows. The shares are now trading at the same value that they were in the spring of 2004
Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks: 
.gif){kind=logo}
Just how high will U.S. gasoline prices rise?
Nordstrom and Kohl's post smaller-than-expected Q1 profit declines
Oil hits record $127.43 on supply concerns, raised Goldman forecast
